4flow trend monitor

Artificial intelligence

A closer look at recent AI technology that adds value

The AI boom is not a hype

Hardly any technology has found so many areas of application in the past year as artificial intelligence. And with interest still growing, the potential of AI is far from achieved. AI offers support to solve problems like big data analysis or image and language recognition that are difficult to handle with traditional technologies. AI offers various opportunities to make supply chain processes more efficient and resilient.

With its ability to recognize patterns in large amounts of data, artificial intelligence can make valuable predictions about demand and utilization, for example, or enable smart automation of workflows with robotics. On top, AI learned to generate various kinds of content. Despite the multitude of promising areas of application, most businesses have not yet implemented AI – so a strategic use of AI can unlock significant cost reduction and efficiency improvements, as well as a competitive advantage.

Arguably one of the most important effects of the rise of applicable generative AI is that it opens the door for the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI), i.e., a machine that can learn to accomplish any intellectual task, or even artificial superintelligence (ASI), a computer that is much more generally intelligent than humans. These kinds of AI would have even further-reaching consequences than the generative AI that exists today.

Generative AI – in focus

Affected industries:

Industries that rely on communication or marketing

Affected supply chain segments:

All supply chain segments

Putting AI on top of priority lists

Generative AI are artificial intelligence programs that can be used to create content like written text, images, audio or computer programs. When combined with a natural language processing (NLP) interface, users can instruct the AI to create content tailored to their specific needs. Generative AI applications like chatbots have recently drawn huge attention across all industries and businesses.

The high automation potential and easy integration into supply chain processes are expected to contribute to this trend’s high impact.

Businesses should be prepared for the first disruptive business models using generative AI. However, especially large language models (LLMs) are still facing trust issues given the inconsistent quality of the results they generate.

Related developments

Setting new records

After its launch in November 2022, OpenAI’s ChatGPT set a new growth record as the artificial intelligence reached 100 million users in just 2 months.

Innovation without humans

Gartner predicts that by 2027, 15% of new applications will be created by generative AI without the involvement of human programmers.

Facets of this trend

  • Chatbots can create marketing material and computer code
  • Generative AI facilitates contract management by summarizing contents and creating documents
  • Data protection and data sovereignty issues

Getting ahead of the trend

Generative AI has huge potential to facilitate time-intensive creative processes. The technology is developing rapidly and expected to disrupt various workflows in all parts of the industry.
Decision makers now need to identify use cases to benefit from the technology while still ensuring data confidentiality and high quality of results.

AI analytics and predictions – in focus

Affected industries:

All industries

Affected supply chain segments:

All segments

Leveraging new optimization potential

AI analytics and predictions can be used where traditional calculation methods reach their limits. Methods like machine learning and deep learning can discover patterns and correlations in large data sets that are too complex for humans to see. AI-based forecasting or big data analytics can unlock new potential for optimization.

Related developments

Room to grow

A recent survey by Freightos discovered that while most logistics players plan on using AI in their processes, only 7% are beyond the piloting phase.

And room to improve

According to a McKinsey study, AI forecasts in SCM can reduce errors by between 20 and 50 percent.

Facets of this trend

  • ETA predictions
  • Risk prediction and assessment
  • Demand forecasting
  • Dynamic pricing

Getting ahead of the trend

AI analytics and predictions have already proven their potential to enhance supply chain optimization processes.
Businesses that have data science competence should evaluate where these methods can be used to improve their results or unlock new use cases.

AI real-time data enrichment – in focus

Affected industries:

All industries

Affected supply chain segments:

All segments, especially warehousing

Processing data on the fly

AI real-time data enrichment refers to algorithms that process data directly after it is created. It depends on accurate and ubiquitous sensors whose information can be processed to enable predictive maintenance and identify defects in machines and vehicles. Video data can be used for augmented reality and computer vision processes such as truck driver fatigue identification, quality control and damage detection or warehouse safety surveillance.

In terms of this trend’s timeliness, the technical components have been available for several years, but there are still not many success stories that integrate sensors, data and processing. Besides the maturity of the technology, trust issues are additional hurdles to the implementation of this trend in the near future.

Related developments

Looking into the future

DHL predicts that 5 years from now, AI-driven computer vision will be an integral part of standard logistics processes.

Greater efficiency

After testing augmented reality processes in picking, DHL reports efficiency improvements of 25%.

New requirements

The European Parliament approved the AI Act, which includes registration requirements for AI-based biometric identification.

Facets of this trend

  • Computer vision (e.g., for warehouse safety, process optimization or access control)
  • Identification of defects and predictive maintenance
  • Vision picking

Getting ahead of the trend

Real-time data enrichment offers many possibilities to create value in logistics processes.
Especially computer vision promises to unlock improvements regarding process accuracy, safety and optimization.
Businesses should evaluate which application yields the highest benefits and which regulatory and trust hurdles they need to consider.

Autonomous driving – in focus

Affected industries:

Especially industries that rely on transportation

Affected supply chain segments:

Road transportation and warehousing

On the long road to productivity

AI makes way for autonomous robots and vehicles that can be used in manufacturing and freight transportation. The technology has immense potential to reduce costs while increasing productivity and safety. However, there are still regulatory and liability issues to overcome before autonomous driving will be present on public roads.

Related developments

Hitting the road

Mercedes-Benz received approval to launch USA’s first Level 3 driving system in Nevada and California, meaning self-driving cars could soon let drivers focus on other tasks and only need humans to take control when prompted.

Moving cargo more quickly

A recent study by MAN Truck and Bus, Deutsche Bahn, Hochschule Fresenius and Göttig KG showed that autonomous trucks could increase cargo handling volumes at terminals by up to 40%.

New software for new horizons

With the acquisition of the AI software provider Five, Bosch has increased its capabilities to develop and test autonomous driving software.

Facets of this trend

  • Regulatory developments for autonomous driving
  • Real time data analytics (computer vision, processing of sensor data)

Getting ahead of the trend

Autonomous driving is a trend that has high potential to disrupt the supply chain industry. Technological and regulatory developments need to be closely monitored.
LSPs with owned assets need to know when to engage in this trend, while other businesses in supply chain need to understand the consequences that changing service levels and costs yield for their business models.

Cyber risk mitigation – in focus

Affected industries:

All industries

Affected supply chain segments:

All segments

Addressing the shady sides of technology

AI tools and methods can unlock huge savings and improve results in various tasks and processes. Influenced by the broad range of benefits AI offers, some users tend to neglect the risks related to the use of AI. Decision makers need to ask themselves: What happens to the data that you feed AI algorithms? Are AI-generated results reliable? Who is responsible for possible errors? Can hackers use AI to harm my business operations?

Related developments

New phishing dangers

Chatbots facilitate the creation of credible phishing messages, including fake video recordings.

Data leaks

Samsung reported the leak of highly confidential data to OpenAI via ChatGPT.

IT security

A Forsa survey revealed that 62% of logistics businesses have deficiencies regarding basic IT security.

Facets of this trend

  • Hacker attacks and phishing attempts
  • Data security and data protection concerns
  • Liability issues connected to AI
  • Quality concerns: chatbot “hallucinations” and inability to explain answers
  • Governments discuss legislation on AI usage with regard to security, among other concerns

Getting ahead of the trend

Make use of the potential of AI while considering the risks connected to it.
Cross-check AI-generated solutions with proven methods. Train employees regarding the hazards of AI phishing.
Evaluate how data is processed by external companies and set up appropriate rules to prevent the exposure of confidential data.


Authors

Holger Clasing

Vice President and Head of Strategy Practice
4flow consulting

 

Wendelin Gross

Head of
4flow research

 

Gero Holzheid

Supply Chain Scientist
4flow research

 

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